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Hurricane Rita (aka) Houston Next???

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Old 09-19-05 | 10:33 PM
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Hurricane Rita (aka) Houston Next???

My vert is already on a dolly ready to be hitched up. My other 3 are on 18" of cinder blocks. The 10th AE is full of gas ($43.00 DAMN), and waiting for more if needed.

We have a Suburban, a beautiful 88 IROC-Z, a restored 78 Chevy truck, a Bronco II, a 2002 Dogde 1500, a 2000 Stratus, and a freaking Corolla...PLUS 5 RX-7's!!!

If we have to leave, we have 7 drivers. Only the 78 Chevy and 3 of my 7's will have to stay.

If the NWS predictions are correct, and soon-to-be Hurricane Rita is heading our way, what are you going to do about it???
Old 09-19-05 | 11:03 PM
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Let's hope that it goes to Mexico or something...

The last thing we need is the Bay right below Houston to wind up in Houston, or the storm going into Louisiana anywhere.

Good luck to all.
Old 09-20-05 | 12:13 AM
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If anybody needs space to store stuff I've got 17 acres on the Houston side of Austin, and ~13 first gens and a second gen or two to keep any orphaned RX7's company.
Old 09-20-05 | 07:44 AM
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Thanks CT, that's a generous offer.

I have my 'vertible in storage, but I might take it to a elevated parking garage if we get a cat3 or higher.

The 91 is out front and isn't running anyhow. It's a sitting duck.

The Kia Sportage is a trooper, nothing is gonna take it down.
Old 09-20-05 | 11:10 AM
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From: NY, MA, MI, OR, TX, and now LA or AZ!
If you need another driver let me know, I can give you a hand (though I don't believe there will be a flooding issue here, at least I hope?) I'm not sure what to do really.
Old 09-20-05 | 12:04 PM
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I'm in the Woodlands so I don't think I have to much to worry about.
I just hope we don't get to much rain.
Old 09-20-05 | 04:53 PM
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From: NY, MA, MI, OR, TX, and now LA or AZ!
I'm pretty sure there's going to be a ton of rain with this thing, which is one of the reasons why I'm not sure if I want to stick around and see what happens, or just go crash at a friends place for a while.
Old 09-21-05 | 01:25 AM
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you think you will be good in the woodlands huh, what about spring?
Old 09-21-05 | 05:23 AM
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Well, I'd expect at least some 100mph winds through the south loop and up guessing by their current projected paths, and probably a good 10" of rain or more, it ain't gonna be pretty. This thing looks like it's going to steam pretty good accross us.
Old 09-21-05 | 06:52 AM
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Category 4 as of now.
Old 09-21-05 | 07:19 AM
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Originally Posted by SGPguy
you think you will be good in the woodlands huh, what about spring?
I'm not sure about anything....I've never been through a Hurricane before.
I have 7mo. old son so I will be leaving and going North.
I'm sure we will get some high (90-100mph) winds but I worry about all the rain.

Good luck everyone and remember its just a car, leave it if you have to.
Old 09-21-05 | 09:20 AM
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I've got my 7 and wifes car loaded up and ready to go to Tyler. I'm going leave my truck on top of my new 18" high slab here since the truck is higher off the ground. The only thing I'm worried about is wind tearing it up. I live in between Pearland and Sugarland. I think the wind is going to play a big role in this drama. Good luck to everyone!!!
Old 09-21-05 | 10:43 AM
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My family and I are officially leaving the city. We starting to board up windows and collect all of our valuables.

I have even worse news, about one of my 7's. The 10th AE is undrivable. There is a mjor engien problem. I dont think it's even worth compression testing, since I know what the noise sounds like already.

I will load it up on a dolly, and take it with me anyway.

This is the last post before I shut down my computer, and package it.

Good luck to all.
Old 09-21-05 | 11:25 AM
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HURRICANE RITA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005

LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E

25.0N 90.0W 41 X X X 41
25.7N 92.0W 19 9 X 1 29
26.6N 94.0W 1 18 4 1 24
MMSO 238N 982W X X 3 5 8
MMTM 222N 979W X X 1 3 4
PENSACOLA FL X X X 3 3
MOBILE AL X X 1 3 4
GULFPORT MS X X 2 4 6
BURAS LA X 2 4 4 10
NEW ORLEANS LA X 1 3 6 10
NEW IBERIA LA X 1 6 5 12
PORT ARTHUR TX X X 7 7 14
GALVESTON TX X 1 9 6 16
FREEPORT TX X 1 10 6 17 <-- Highest Landfall Probabilities Currently
PORT O CONNOR TX X 1 11 5 17 <-- Highest Landfall Probabilities Currently
CORPUSCHRISTI TX X 1 9 6 16
BROWNSVILLE TX X 2 9 5 16
GULF 29N 87W X 1 1 2 4
GULF 28N 89W 3 7 2 2 14
GULF 28N 91W 2 12 3 2 19
GULF 28N 93W X 12 7 2 21
GULF 28N 95W X 5 12 3 20
GULF 27N 96W X 6 11 3 20
GULF 25N 96W X 8 6 3 17


COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM THU TO 7PM THU
C FROM 7PM THU TO 7AM FRI
D FROM 7AM FRI TO 7AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SAT X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
Old 09-21-05 | 11:28 AM
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From: Houston, Texas
Hurricane Rita Advisory Number 16
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl 10 Am Cdt Wed Sep 21 2005

...rita Remains An Extremely Dangerous Hurricane...winds Now Estimated 140 Mph Winds...

At 11 Am Edt...1500z...the Tropical Storm Warning For The Florida Keys From The Marquesas Keys Westward To The Dry Tortugas Has Been Discontinued.

A Hurricane Watch Will Likely Be Issued For Portions Of The Northwest Gulf Of Mexico Coast Later Today Or This Evening.

Interests In The Northwestern Gulf Of Mexico Should Monitor The Progress Of Dangerous Hurricane Rita.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued By Your Local Weather Office.

At 10 Am Cdt...1500z...the Eye Of Hurricane Rita Was Located Near Latitude 24.3 North...longitude 85.9 West Or About 260 Miles...
West Of Key West Florida And About 755 Miles East-southeast Of Corpus Christi Texas.

Rita Is Moving Toward The West Near 13 Mph And This Motion Is Expected To Continue During The Next 12 To 24 Hours.

Maximum Sustained Winds Have Increased To Near 140 Mph...with Higher Gusts. Rita Is A Extremely Dangerous Category Four Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson Scale. Some Additional Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours And Could Reach Category Five Intensity In The Central Gulf Of Mexico.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 45 Miles From The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 140 Miles. The Wind Field Associated With Rita Is Forecast To Expand During The Next Day Or Two.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 944 Mb...27.88 Inches.

Repeating The 10 Am Cdt Position...24.3 N... 85.9 W. Movement Toward...west Near 13 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...140 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure... 944 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
4 Pm Cdt.
Old 09-21-05 | 04:18 PM
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Cat 5

wow, didn't think Rita was going to turn out to be very much, let alone a cat 5 as is is said to be now.

I got a lot of extra room here in a house in SA if anyone needs it.

-Mike
210-725-5302
Old 09-21-05 | 08:25 PM
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So any animal lovers out there... we have a small zoo.
http://animals.justpiecesofme.com

Wherever we go, they are coming with us (except the fish) they can swim.
Old 09-21-05 | 08:39 PM
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You think you will be allright in san antonio? This thing is supposed to be the 3rd largest hurricane in the history of the u.s. At first i was thinking about staying and toughing it out, but now we are going to gtf out. I hope Austin will be far enough away.

Screw this, im from Cali, i dont care what anyone says, i would much rather go through an earthquake. Evacuation is going to be horrible, at least 8hrs to go to austin from spring. So leave as soon as possible. Right now im going to pack up all the **** that will fit in my truck and my cat, so i must sign off.

Good luck to all, and if you are able to leave, then GET THE **** OUT!
Old 09-21-05 | 11:23 PM
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Yeah I got out of Houston, I'm over in LA heading up over to TN. Screw waiting for it!
Old 09-22-05 | 03:22 AM
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Originally Posted by SGPguy
Evacuation is going to be horrible, at least 8hrs to go to austin from spring. So leave as soon as possible. Right now im going to pack up all the **** that will fit in my truck and my cat, so i must sign off.

Good luck to all, and if you are able to leave, then GET THE **** OUT!
My girlfriend left Clear Lake at 7 pm. It is now 3 am and they are just now getting close to Magnolia which is about 70 miles away. That's an average of 6.8 mph!!! She's going to Austin through backroads to avoid Hwy 290. The estimated trip time from Houston to Brenham up 290 which is not quite halfway to Austin is 7 hours! I want to leave and head to Dallas but my parents are staying at home and I am almost more scared to leave them here alone. I'm scared to leave and scared to stay.
Old 09-22-05 | 07:05 AM
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Hurricane Rita Intermediate Advisory Number 19a Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
7 Am Cdt Thu Sep 22 2005

...potentially Catastrophic Category Five Rita Over The Central Gulf Of Mexico...slight Weakening Is Anticipated Today.

A Hurricane Watch Remains In Effect For The Gulf Of Mexico Coast From Port Mansfield Texas To Intracoastal City Louisiana. A Hurricane Warning Will Likely Be Required For Portions Of The Hurricane Watch Area Later Today.

A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For The Southeastern Coast Of Louisiana East Of Morgan City To The Mouth Of The Mississippi River. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Expected In The Warning Area During The Next
24 Hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect On Either Side Of The Hurricane Watch Area...from East Of Intracoastal City To Morgan City Louisiana...and From South Of Port Mansfield To Brownsville Texas.

A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect For The Northeastern Coast Of Mexico From Rio San Fernando Northward To The Rio Grande.

A Hurricane Watch Means That Hurricane Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours. A Tropical Storm Watch Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours.

Interests In The Northwestern Gulf Of Mexico Should Monitor The Progress Of Potentially Catastrophic Hurricane Rita.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued By Your Local Weather Office.

At 7 Am Cdt...1200z...the Eye Of Hurricane Rita Was Located Near Latitude 25.2 North...longitude 88.3 West Or About 490 Miles Southeast Of Galveston Texas And About 595 Miles East-southeast Of Corpus Christi Texas.

Rita Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 9 Mph And This General Motion Is Expected To Continue For The Next 24 Hours.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Estimated Near 170 Mph With Higher Gusts. This Makes Rita A Potentially Catastrophic Category Five Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson Scale. A Slow Weakening Trend Is Forecast But Rita Is Expected To Reach The Coast Late Friday Or Early Saturday As A Major Hurricane...at Least Category Three.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 70 Miles From The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 185 Miles.

The Latest Minimum Central Pressure Recently Measured By A Hurricane Hunter Aircraft Was 907 Mb...26.78 Inches.

Tides Are Currently Running About 1 Foot Above Normal Along The Mississippi And Louisiana Coasts In The Areas Affected By Katrina.
Tides In Those Areas Will Increase Up To 3 To 4 Feet And Be Accompanied By Large Waves...and Residents There Could Experience Some Coastal Flooding.

Heavy Rains Associated With Rita Are Forecast To Begin To Affect The Western And Central Gulf Of Mexico Coastal Areas Tonight Into Friday. Rita Is Expected To Produce Total Rainfall Accumulations Of
8 To 12 Inches With Isolated Maximum Amounts Of 15 Inches From The Central Texas Coast To Southwestern Louisiana. Rainfall Amounts Of
2 To 4 Inches Will Be Possible Elsewhere Across Southern Louisiana ...including The New Orleans Metropolitan Area. After Rita Moves Inland...total Rain Accumulations Of 5 To 10 Inches Will Be Possible Over Eastern Texas... And Central And Eastern Oklahoma During Saturday And Sunday.

Repeating The 7 Am Cdt Position...25.2 N... 88.3 W. Movement Toward...west-northwest Near 9 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...170 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure... 907 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At 10 Am Cdt.
Old 09-22-05 | 12:30 PM
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Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
11 Am Edt Thu Sep 22 2005

Rita Appears To Have Reached Its Peak Intensity During The Past
12 Hours. Hurricanes Typically Do Not Maintain Such High Intensity
For A Long Time. Initial Intensity Estimate Is 145 Knots. Although
Some Fluctuations In Intensity Are Likely During The Next Day Or
Two...due To Eyewall Replacement Cycles...an Overall Gradual
Weakening Trend Should Take Place. This Weakening Trend Is Based On
Lower Oceanic Heat Content Along The Forecast Track And Increasing
Shear. Neverthereless...rita Is Expected To Make Landfall As A
Dangerous Hurricane Of At Least A Category Three Intensity.

Rita Has Been Moving Toward The West-northwest Or 295 Degrees At 8
Knots. A Strong High Pressure System Currently Centered Over
Northern Texas/oklahoma Is Expected To Shift Eastward Allowing Rita
To Take A More Northwesterly And Northerly Track. The Eastward
Shift Of The High Is Forecast By All Global Models...resulting In
Track Guidance Consistently Turning The Hurricane Toward The
Northwest And North Toward The Upper-texas Or The Western Louisiana
Coasts. After Landfall...steering Currents Are Expected To Weaken
And The Cyclone Could Meander For A Couple Of Days In The Vicinity
Of Northeastern Texas...producing Heavy Rains.

Based On The Forecast Track And Wind Radii...hurricane Warnings Have
Been Issued At This Time From Port O'connor Texas To Morgan City
Louisiana. Tropical Storm Warnings Are In Effect On Either Side Of
The Hurricane Warning
Old 09-22-05 | 02:07 PM
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DAMN THAT HURRICANE IS HUGE!!!!! Man alot of areas in san antonio flood very easy...man this is gonna suck....i know it won't be a cat 4 or 5 when it hits us but we are still expected to get a **** load of rain.....ITS GON' RAIN!






Good luck to everyone that is gonna stick it out on the coast and in houston......and good luck to those that are gonna be stuck on the highways (when the cane' hits) because of bumper to bumper traffic.
Old 09-22-05 | 05:33 PM
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I wish the evacuation managers there had a clue, you guys would be better off heading West and South than North ... North will only put you in the path of it again, this thing will still be a Hurricane 300 miles inland. As a Meteorologist, if it were me I'd head to San Antonio ... or go to the barrier islands South of Corpus Christi and enjoy a few days of vacation on the beach.
Old 09-22-05 | 05:37 PM
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From: Houston, Texas
Hurricane Rita Advisory Number 21
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
4 Pm Cdt Thu Sep 22 2005

...dangerous Hurricane Rita Gradually Heading Toward The Southwest
Louisiana And Upper Texas Coasts...

A Hurricane Warning Is In Effect From Port O'connor Texas To Morgan
City Louisiana. A Hurricane Warning Means That Hurricane Conditions
Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24 Hours.
Preparations To Protect Life And Property Should Be Rushed To
Completion.

At 4 Pm Cdt...2100z...a Tropical Storm Warning Has Been Issued For
North Of The Mouth Of The Mississippi River To The Mouth Of The
Pearl River Including Metropolitan New Orleans And Lake
Pontchartrain. A Tropical Storm Warning Is Now In Effect For The
Southeastern Coast Of Louisiana East Of Morgan City To The Mouth Of
The Mouth Of The Pearl River Including Metropolitan New Orleans And
Lake Pontchartrain....and From South Of Port O'connor To Port
Mansfield Texas. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical
Storm Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The
Next 24 Hours.

A Tropical Strom Watch Remains In Effect From South Of Port
Mansfield To Brownsville Texas...and For The Northeastern Coast Of
Mexico From Rio San Fernando Northward To The Rio Grande.
A Tropical Storm Watch Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are
Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

At 4 Pm Cdt...2100z...the Center Of Hurricane Rita Was Located Near
Latitude 25.8 North...longitude 89.5 West Or About 405 Miles...
650 Km...southeast Of Galveston Texas And About 390 Miles... 630
Km...southeast Of Port Arthur Texas.

Rita Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 9 Mph...15 Km/hr. A
Gradual Turn Toward The Northwest Is Expected During The Next 24
Hours. On This Track...the Core Of Rita Will Be Approaching The
Southwest Louisiana And The Upper Texas Coast Late Friday.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 145 Mph...230 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Rita Is A Extremely Dangerous Category Four Hurricane On The
Saffir-simpson Scale. Some Fluctuations In Intensity Are Likely
During The Next 24 Hours.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 60 Miles... 95 Km...
From The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up
To 205 Miles...335 Km. Anytropical Strom Force Winds In The New
Orleans Area Are Expected To Be Confined To A Few Squalls
Associated With Quickly Moving Rainbands. At 3 Pm Cdt...a Noaa Buoy
Reported A 10-minute Average Wind Of 89 Mph...143 Km/hr With A Gust
To 112 Mph...180 Km/hr.

Latest Minimum Central Pressure Reported By An Air Force Plane Was
913 Mb...26.96 Inches.

Coastal Storm Surge Flooding Of 15 To 20 Feet Above Normal Tide
Levels...along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves...can Be
Expected Near And To The East Of Where The Center Makes Landfall.
Tides Are Currently Running About 2 Feet Above Normal Along The
Louisiana...mississippi And Alabama Coasts In The Areas Affected By
Katrina. Tides In Those Areas Will Increase To 3 To 5 Feet And Be
Accompanied By Large Waves...and Residents There Could Experience
Coastal Flooding.

Rainfall Accumulations Of 8 To 12 Inches With Isolated Maximum 15
Inch Totals Are Possible Along The Path Of Rita Over Southeast Texas
And Southwestern Louisiana As It Moves Inland. Based On The
Forecast Track...totals Accumulations In Excess Of 25 Inches Are
Possible Over The Next Several Days As The System Slows Down. In
Addition...rainfall Amounts Of 3 To 5 Inches Are Possible Over
Southeastern Louisiana Including New Orleans.

Repeating The 4 Pm Cdt Position...25.8 N... 89.5 W. Movement
Toward...west-northwest Near 9 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...145
Mph. Minimum Central Pressure... 913 Mb.

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 7 Pm Cdt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 10 Pm
Cdt.


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